TIPP Mittwoch, 22.04.2026
17:00 - 18:30 Uhr
SoWi-Aula, Universitätsstraße 15, 6020 Innsbruck
Anmeldung ist erforderlich; Anmeldung beim Veranstalter bis 20.04.26
Eintritt / Kosten: Keine
Anna Dreber Almenberg
Professor of Economics at the Stockholm School of Economics
Anna Dreber Almenberg wird die 42. Böhm-Bawerk Lecture halten. Die schwedische Ökonomin ist Johan-Björkman-Professorin für Wirtschaftswissenschaften an der Stockholm School of Economics. Ihre interdisziplinäre Forschung konzentriert sich auf Unterschiede in den wirtschaftlichen Präferenzen zwischen und innerhalb von Individuen sowie auf die Reproduzierbarkeit wissenschaftlicher Ergebnisse.
Which results replicate or generalize? In this talk, Anna Dreber Almenberg will discuss several large replication projects in mainly psychology and economics, where her coauthors (many from the University of Innsbruck) and she have redone experiments published in high impact journals with new and larger samples to see whether the main result replicates. She will also cover their studies on the forecasting of scientific results, and discuss their recent work on the possibility of using decision markets to select which studies to replicate. In the prediction markets they have set up, researchers are given monetary endowments to bet on whether results picked for replication will replicate with the definition of successful replication being a statistically significant effect in the same direction as the original study. In decision markets, they use market prices to decide which studies to replicate. She will also briefly discuss work on analytical heterogeneity and design heterogeneity. These are projects where researchers are asked to test the same hypotheses on the same experimental or non-experimental data, or where researchers are asked to design experiments to test the same hypothesis. The results suggest that a large share of results do not replicate and that this is to some extent predictable. The results also suggest that there is substantial analytical and design heterogeneity, limiting the generalizability of individual results. She will also discuss potential ways forward for tests of new hypotheses.
Foto: Anna Dreber Almenberg
Sozial- und Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultäten in Kooperation mit dem FSP EPoS