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Veranstaltungen · Universität Innsbruck · Medizinische Universität Innsbruck

Mittwoch, 07.11.2018

Gastvortrag

The study of American politics as a window into understanding uncertainty in science

18:00 - 20:00 Uhr
HS 3 SoWi, Universitätsstraße 15, 6020 Innsbruck


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Vortragende/r

Andrew Gelman

Department of Statistics and Department of Political Science, Columbia University, New York

Weitere Informationen

We begin by discussing recent American elections in the context of political polarization, and we consider similarities and differences with European politics. We then discuss statistical challenges in the measurement of public opinion: inference from opinion polls with declining response rates has much in common with challenges in big-data analytics. From here we move to the recent replication crisis in science, and we argue that Bayesian methods are well suited to resolve some of these problems, if researchers can move away from inappropriate demands for certainty. We illustrate with examples in many different fields of research, our own and others'.

https://www.facebook.com/events/529658641200634

https://www.uibk.ac.at/politikwissenschaft/news/veranstaltungen/downloads/2018/el-vortrag-andrew-gelman.pdf

Veranstalter

Institut für Politikwissenschaft


Prof. Marcelo Jenny
507-70110
marcelo.jenny@uibk.ac.at