Research Interests
- Statistical downscaling of direct model output
- Probabilistic forecast products (especially precipitation)
- Forecast verification
Projects
Publications
Contributions to Books / Journals
Journal Article (Original Paper)
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Gebetsberger, Manuel; Messner, Jakob; Mayr, Georg; Zeileis, Achim (2018): Estimation Methods for Nonhomogeneous Regression Models: Minimum Continuous Ranked Probability Score versus Maximum Likelihood.
In: Monthly Weather Review 146/12, pp. 4323 - 4338. (DOI) (Web link) -
Gebetsberger, Manuel; Messner, Jakob W.; Mayr, Georg J.; Zeileis, Achim (2017): Fine-tuning non-homogeneous regression for probabilistic precipitation forecasts: Unanimous predictions, heavy tails, and link functions.
In: Monthly Weather Review 145/11, pp. 4693 - 4708. (DOI) (Web link)
Journal Article (Discussion-/Working Paper)
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Gebetsberger, M.; Messner, J. W.; Mayr, G. J.; Zeileis, A. (2016): Tricks for improving non-homogeneous regression for probabilistic precipitation forecasts: Perfect predictions, heavy tails, and link functions.
In: Working Papers in Economics and Statistics - University of Innsbruck 2016-28, elektronisch. (Web link)